Army Corps of Engineers Report Plummeting Great Lakes Water Levels – Impacts Across Michigan

2024 Great Lakes Water Levels

Michigan’s Great Lakes water levels continue dropping and colder temperatures, potentially impacting communities, industries, and ecosystems.

Winter Brings Substantial Changes to Michigan’s Waterways

The latest report from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Detroit District highlights significant shifts in water levels across the Great Lakes basin, with colder-than-average temperatures and declining precipitation compounding the changes. As Thanksgiving gave way to frigid forecasts, Michigan’s waterways brace for challenges that could ripple across the region.

Water levels in Lakes Michigan-Huron, Superior, and Ontario have fallen below their historical November averages by 4 to 7 inches, marking a noticeable shift from a year ago. Meanwhile, Lakes St. Clair and Erie sit slightly above their long-term averages but are also trending downward.

The drop in water levels, combined with below-freezing temperatures forecasted across Michigan’s Upper Peninsula and southeastern Great Lakes basin, paints a stark picture for residents and industries relying on these critical waterways.

Water Levels and Forecasts for December

Michigan-Huron Water Levels Chart
Lakes Huron-Michigan – Army Corps of Engineers

The Army Corps’ data indicates Lakes Michigan-Huron and Superior are projected to dip further, with declines of 2 to 3 inches by late December. However, Lake Ontario could buck the trend, rising slightly by 2 inches.

Here’s how each lake stacks up:

  • Lake Superior: 7 inches below its November average.
  • Lakes Michigan-Huron: 4 inches below average, 7 inches lower than 2023 levels.
  • Lake St. Clair: 2 inches above its long-term average but stable for now.
  • Lake Erie: 5 inches above average yet forecasted to lose an inch by month-end.
  • Lake Ontario: 6 inches below its November average but set to rise.

Despite slight rebounds in some areas, lower-than-average outflows for Lake Superior via the St. Marys River and other hydrological changes could exacerbate the situation.

Implications for Michigan’s Industries and Communities

The fluctuations in water levels carry significant implications:

  • Shipping and Navigation: Lower water levels in the St. Clair and Detroit Rivers could hinder commercial shipping and require adjustments to navigation charts.
  • Fishing and Tourism: Dropping levels may alter fish habitats and disrupt ice fishing, a winter staple for local economies.
  • Coastal Infrastructure: Changing levels stress docks, piers, and shoreline stabilization projects.

Experts caution mariners and recreational users to check water level readings and prepare for ice-related hazards as the season progresses.

Weather Conditions Add to Challenges

Over the past week, Michigan’s Upper Peninsula and the eastern Great Lakes received only about an inch of precipitation, far from enough to offset declining water levels. Forecasts predict increased lake-effect snow but persistently low temperatures—averaging in the 20s Fahrenheit across the north and mid-30s in the southeast.

Seasonal shifts could reduce evaporation from the lakes, but colder temperatures may freeze surface areas, further complicating regional water management.

Great Lakes Water Levels and Ongoing Monitoring

The Great Lakes water levels are influenced by climate patterns, local precipitation, and human interventions like damming and dredging. While the basin has experienced fluctuations in the past, sustained declines—paired with potential climate-driven extremes—pose growing challenges for Michigan’s environmental and economic stability.

As the Army Corps emphasizes, water levels reflect still-water conditions across entire lakes and may differ locally. Residents and businesses should consult real-time data and follow updates from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the International Joint Commission.


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Michael Hardy

Michael is the owner of Thumbwind Publications LLC. It started in 2009 as a fun-loving site covering Michigan's Upper Thumb. Since then, he has expanded sites and range of content and established a loyal base of 60,000 visitors per month.

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